HOUSTON ASTROS vs TEXAS RANGERS Tip and PreviewbaseballusaUSA MLB Baseball

19th May 2012 at 2:05

Tipster Tip Details Result
tipster Tony Costa
Tony Costa
Bet on: TEXAS RANGERS -1.00   

Best Odds: 1.78 at Pinnaclesports

Stake: 2 % bankroll (40 units)   

No Bet Under: 1.70   

Waiting for result
Game Preview:
Neftali Feliz (3-1, 3. 32 ERA, 31 SO) is 2-0 with a 2. 25 ERA and 13 SO in his last 2 starts. He has a 1. 13 WHIP and a 8. 76 run support. He limits his opponents to a . 188 average.

Wandy Rodriguez (3-3, 1. 99 ERA, 36 SO) is among the NL leaders in ERA at 1. 99 but his ERA is at 2. 35 over his last 3 starts.
He has a 5. 96 K/9 ratio and a 5. 63 run support.

So if we look at the ERA and at the WHIP only, Rodriguez has the edge. But if we’re adding the run support, the K/9 ratio, and the BAA, Feliz looks more complete.

Plus, Texas has the most efficient batters and the second best bullpen in ERA, the best in WHIP. Texas is batting slighty better against lefties than righties. So that does not make a difference for the Rangers to face Rodriguez.

Over 24 wins, Rangers won 20 times by 2 runs or more. Actually betting the money line on Texas is not very profitable, but the run line is. So I’m going to take the -1 run line as we get better odds.

Texas Rangers-1 @ 1. 78
Feliz must start
Rodriguez must start

Tip published on the 18th May 2012 at 12:00