3 Matches to Watch

Rayo Vallecano v Atletico Madrid Falcao is fit again and his presence could inspire an away victory, you still have to look at everything else though and when you consider how strong Rayo Vallecano have been at home recently (5 wins out of last 6 home matches) and how poor Atletico Madrid have been playing away (lost four out of last 6 away matches. Football is a difficult sport to work in right now and although the stats seems to point to a home win, we’ve been looking at some different angles, notably the goals scored. Games involving Vallecano at home recently have seen 19 goals whilst games involving Madrid away have seen 15 goals. With 1.98 on offer from Pinnacle for the over 2.5 goals market is very tempting and we’ll be going for that in this match. Real Madrid v Sevilla With everything going on at Madrid (manager speculation, players falling out with the manager, manager falling out with those above him), it’s very difficult to see what Madrid are going to be able to accomplish here, 9/10 seasons you would be backing a clear Real Madrid win but with their focus on the upcoming Champions League tie against Manchester United, everything gets clouded further. Real Madrid are 7 points behind their city rivals Atletico and it all seems to be going wrong for them, they actually lost to Granada last week, the first time a side has taken all the points in a match without having a single shot on target (Ronaldos headed own goal securing the points for the team from Andalusia. Sevilla are down in 10th and have no other distractions so can focus solely on the league. It’s important to know when to walk away from a bet and with so many imponderables, that’s exactly what we’re doing on this one. Lazio v Napoli Here is the info we received from Simeone Tassini:

It is big derby, and it is hard to predict a winner. Booth team are motivated to stay close to leader Juventus, but current form showing that Napoli is in better mood, but that is not so important in derb.. Lazio have problems best striker Klose is out 60day, also is big question about their best players Hernanes, Lazio star Hernanes is said to be recovering quickly from a head injury and could face Napoli on Saturday, despite previously being ruled out for a month.  The Brazilian playmaker suffered head trauma and some retrograde amnesia when he clashed heads with Juventus’ Luca Marrone during last Tuesday’s Coppa Italia semi-final win.  Hernanes had initially been told he would probably not play for a month, but the Brazilian resumed light training today. IMO Lazio to much depend on Hernanes, he is only creative midfilder, so we must wait latest news about he is status. After that injury news Market reject very fast and odds dropped to much on Napoli, and IMO if Hernanes play Value is on Lazio +0.25, Hernanes is key man he will connect defense and offense, and in offense Floccari show that he can replace Klose. For Napoli Dzemali and Maggio two regular midfielders are out, but still they have replacment for that players. CONCLUSION: One more time Hernanes is doubtful, with him in squad Lazio have one more dimension , we see in Genoa without him they lost 3-2, Napoli is on fire, but they are not perfect away at home. Lazio have chance, especially with big fans support, with Hernanes +0.25 on Lazio is Value, so wait for line up if you see hernanes in squad bet on Lazio +0.25 , w/o him my recommendation is skip a bet.