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Prediction and Betting Tip : Cf Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Free Tip
Cf Valencia <span>vs</span> Athletic Bilbao

Cf Valencia vs
Athletic Bilbao


19/02/2017 16:15

Published on 19/Feb/2017 11:21


  • BET ON: Over +2.50

  • Best Tipster Odd: 2.04 Pinnacle Sports


  • STAKE: 5 % bankroll (100 Units)

  • No Bet Under: 1.99



  • MATCH RESULT: 2-0 (2-0)

  • PROFIT: -100 Units

Odds Comparison

2022-06-30 11:58:27

No odds available at the moment

Game Preview

Match between 15th and 8th placed team in La Liga will be played on Mestalla in Valencia and will start at 16:15 on Sunday.

Valencia is coming to match after goalless draw in Sevilla against Betis, where Sanchez closed down his team with 5 defenders. It will be slighlty different today, as Bilbao will want to get something more than 1 point out of this match. Mina and Rodrigo are still out, but Valencia has enough of offensive players. With recent signings Zaza and Orellana, they just strenghthen their attack and with Parejo, Munir, Nani,.. they have quality players which should perform better. Their position is far from what we are used to see from team as Valencia. 

Bilbao didn't score in last 3 away matches, and it's time that this change. Opponent will be perfect for that, as last team who didn't score on Mestalla was Eibar on 20 of April last year! Ironic is that this Eibar scored 4 goals on Mestalla two weeks ago. Bilbao played tough match against APOEL and even if 2nd match is coming on next Thursday, I think that Valverde won't mix the team too much. Their position on table is also not the position they wants, but they are not far from 6th position as 6th placed Villarreal is just one point above them. Balenziaga is injured which means that Lekua could get his position on left flank, but otherwise Bilbao is without any major injuries.

Odds for over surprised me here, as both teams are more attacking minded and even if Bilbao's recent away form is poor, with player as Raul Garcia is, who likes to come to the box from second plan I am sure that they will score against Valencia whos defence is one of the poorest in their history. Bilbao didn't lose against Valencia in 9 of 10 matches which is just proving that their style is not suiting Valencia. Aduriz, Inaki, Raul, this team is even able to trash Valencia if they will have a bad day (as Eibar did), but on the other hand, Valencia can also win this match with 3-0, and that's why I am going in it with over 2,5 instead of both teams to score. I trully expect goals here, odds are favourising under and I disagree with that. 

Post-Game Analysis

I was surprised by odds offered by bookmakers and even if they won, I think that after the match they perfectly knew that they made mistake here. This match was even crazier than the one between Lorient and Nice. We were able to see 30 shots in the match, with both sides producing half of them! That's really not something what happens often in football, and that's why it's even more unbelievable that we saw only two goals. Even if Valverde started with Aduriz and Inaki on the bench, I think that my analysis was perfectly fine here. I predicted open match from both sides, with lots of chances and thats exactly what happened. First big chance was already in 4th minute (for Valencia), second in 12th for Bilbao and two minutes later Valencia scored for 1-0. 10 minutes later San Jose (Bilbao) scored, but he was in offside. In 44th minute another great situation for Valencia to score, ended with ball in hands of Iraizoz. In last seconds of 1st half Valencia scored 2nd goal, and after what I saw in first half I was million precent sure that this match cannot finish with 2 goals. In second half Valverde responded with Inaki and Aduriz. In first 5 minutes Valencia had 2 nice chances, but they were not able to put the ball behind the back of Iraizoz. The 65th try of Munir, just two minutes later Nani dribbled into the middle, but his shot from approx. 8 meters was saved by Iraizoz. In 75th Inaki didn't score from 1on1 situation with Alves. 3 minutes later free kick for Bilbao from side, and Alves saved try of Raul Garcia. In 83rd Nani tried from side again, but missed the goal. In 85th Bakkali passed to Zaza who missed another solid opportunity to scored 3rd goal of the match. All in all I need to say that I was simply unlucky here, but matches like this happened and I need to move on.

Anyone who missed a lot of money on this match.. it's maybe better not to see the highlights.