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Prediction and Betting Tip : Sm Caen vs Olympique Lyonnais

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Sm Caen <span>vs</span> Olympique Lyonnais

Sm Caen vs
Olympique Lyonnais

Ligue 1

15/01/2017 17:00

Published on 15/Jan/2017 14:39



  • Best Tipster Odd: 1.81 Pinnacle Sports


  • STAKE: 3.5 % bankroll (70 Units)

  • No Bet Under: 1.70



  • MATCH RESULT: 3-2 (2-2)

  • PROFIT: -70 Units

Odds Comparison

2021-12-02 17:25:55

No odds available at the moment

Game Preview

Match between 19th and 4th placed team in French Ligue 1 will be played on Stade Michel d'Ornano in Caen, at 17:00.

Caen who will play postponed match against Nantes in midweek is currently on 19th spot, and situation looks pretty bad. Even if they're tough home team, able to surprise bigger clubs - they won Nice 1-0 on November, I think that they will be in relegation fight till end of the season. Today they will miss central defender Youssef who is on ACN, while 2-3 players are not fully fit, but otherwise coach Garande can count on whole team.

Lyon is coming to match after 4 wins in row. They succeeded also in Monaco (1-3) and that's just proving they're quality this year. They have some great individuals, coach Genesio found the way how to play with all of them and results are getting better and better. They will miss Ghezzal and Nkolou due to ACN, but they have lots of quality players, so Genesio will be still able to put very strong lineup, with some players to change the tempo of the game also from the bench. Good information for OL is that Gonalons is fully fit, so Tolisso's place on the pitch will be well replaced.

All in all, Lyon is simply stronger team. If we would have match like this in any other league, odds on favourite would be between 1,3 and 1,5. In France is slightly different, but I will take advantage of it. Lyon will be better team on the pitch, having more chances, having more dangerous chances for sure. Being strong with counter-attacks, having so much of individual quality, and also being dangerous from set-pieces.. I think that it will be simply too much for home team. It is raining in Caen at 8 degrees, wind is not too strong so I believe that conditions will be fine for the match.

Post-Game Analysis

If match would be today or any other day I would have same prediction under same circumstances. I didn't even have good informations about Tolliso, who started the game! If I would know that in front of match, I would probably go with OL with 5-6 units. Just take a look how luckily Caen reach the first goal. 3 catastrophic passes, then ball on the flank, cross and unlucky Cornet scoring an own goal. Second goal of Caen came after penalty, for which is a good question if it was or not. I disagree with commentator, as I think that positioning of main referee was really bad as he was unable to see if Gonalons actually touched him or not, but well penalty was given and 2-0 for Caen. Then Lyon finally woke up. Diakhaby hit woodwork in 33rd minute and just two minutes later referee shows penalty for Lyon (again good question if decision was not to harsh). Then equalising goal with perfect timing just before halftime and I thought that Lyon will grab all three points easily now. But no, Caen scored 3rd goal in 61st minute, and after that we saw (believe or not) 7 solid chances of Lyon, but they were just not concentrated enough at finishing. They were better, having much much more chances, having more possession, being more dangerous, but Caen won and that's all that matters.