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Prediction and Betting Tip : Fc Metz vs Olympique Marseille

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Fc Metz <span>vs</span> Olympique Marseille

Fc Metz vs
Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

03/02/2017 20:45

Published on 03/Feb/2017 15:23



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Odds Comparison

2022-07-02 12:46:45

No odds available at the moment

Game Preview

Match between 19th and 6th placed team in Ligue 1 will be played on Stade Saint-Symphorien in Metz and it will start at 20:45 on Friday. Weather is stable for now (without rain) and it should be the same also for the time of the match.

Metz who has new weapon in Diabate will try to stop Marseille. With Erdinç, attack of Metz seems pretty solid, but other part of the team is too much below that. Approximately they are conceding 1,8 goals per game, but against stronger opponents goal number is much higher. Nice scored 4 times here, Monaco 7 times, even last placed Lorient scored twice here. They will miss both Cohade and Diagne, who received red cards against Angers and even if Sarr and Doukoure came back from ACN, I think that they will have serious problems with build up against high pressing of OM. Cohade was best player on the pitch in 2 of last 3 matches of Metz, against Montpellier (2-0 - both assists) and against Nice (0-0).

Atmosphere in Marseille is great. They bounced back after two ugly defeats against Lyon and Monaco with two wins over Montpellier (5-1) and Lyon (2-1 after e.t.). The one against OL was cup match and fans were able to see first minutes of Dimitri Payet on Velodrome which is another reason for being excited. Unfortunately Evra has picked up an injury, so Doria will probably start on his place and I believe that after he was the one who decided the winner against OL, he will be highly motivated to show that he deserves place in first eleven. Marseille started new project, bringing for very good players - Payet, Sanson, Evra and Sertic and Rudi Garcia will be able to rotate a lot with his squad without loosing too much quality on the pitch. They have mix between experienced team with young players and especially they are performing outstanding - Lopez, Zambo, also 24-year old Thauvin is still among younger players even though he has lot of experiences.

Another bet which I like here is over 2,5 goals, but I think that Marseille could win it without conceding as well. With Rolando they have tall, experienced player who can fight in aerial duels with Diabate, while ball will be strongly in Marseille's possession which will reduce possibility of creating chances. I know that I am writing about him too much, but again I need to say that Thauvin is simply too good for any defence in league and he will create at least 2 great chances individually. Also Cabella started playing much better, here is also Payet, well.. offensively Marseille is becoming real threat for whole league and in my opinion they can mix up things for Lyon's 4th place. Metz is in dangerous places, 1 point under relegation zone, but I am afraid that they will need to look for points elsewhere. Odds are as high probably because of possibility of tiredness, but I think that they will be just extra motivated after big win. Metz has one of the most porous defences in the league, while Marseille is scoring high numbers of goals with through balls.

Post-Game Analysis

Tough numbers on scoresheet for my prediction. Marseille started well, even with Gomis on the bench, what I wasn't expecting, they created 2 nice chances to be in front, but Sarr in Thauvin missed it. As mentioned in analysis, they were making a lot of problems on the wings also with through balls, but ball didn't and didn't want to go in the net. Even when it looked that they will be finally in front, first goal was disallowed because of offside while second was stopped by the post. In last 15-20 minutes Metz started feeling that they have chance to win and they did it. Jouffre who came in as substitution scored from free kick, but goal was actually big mistake of goalkeeper Pele who shouldn't have problems with this shot, but his anticipation was totally incorrect and ball finished in the net. It's hard to say that I was wrong with analysis as Marseille was better team for 60-70 minutes of the game, I was right about huge advantage in possession (29%-71%), also passing success of Metz was only little bit above the average, which means that almost every second pass of them finished in the possession of Marseille. But well, that's football, ball is rounded and even though my thinking in analysis was correct, prediction wasn't.