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TIPSTER STATS from 19 Nov 2017 To 18 Dec 2018
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Published on 10/Jan/2018 10:54
TYPE OF BET: ASIAN HANDICAP INCLUDING OT
BET ON: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +3.00
Best Tipster Odd: 1.91 Bet365
BEST CURRENT ODD:
STAKE: 5 % bankroll (100 Units)
No Bet Under: 1.86
MATCH RESULT: 15-10 (0-3, 9-7, 3-0, 3-0)
PROFIT: +91 Units
Until the Falcons' fourth quarter scoring drive that was capped by a Julio Jones touchdown catch, the difference in the game was a pair of Matt Bryant field goals that were set up by two Rams special teams giveaways. Yes, the Falcons defense held the high-powered Rams to 374 yards of total offense, but only 13 points. Meanwhile, Ryan, Jones, and the offense never quite appeared to be as dominant as Atlanta's offense was during last year's playoff run, which plays into the Eagles' hand with Foles at the helm and points potentially being at a premium next week.
The Eagles defense has been lights out at Lincoln Financial Field over the last two seasons.
This season, opponents averaged just 13.7 points per game at Lincoln Financial Field. Over the last two seasons, the Eagles have won nine of their last 11 home contests.
Given that the Falcons play in a dome, the Philadelphia long-term forecast calls for snow, and the Eagles' dominance at Lincoln Financial Field, home-field has the potential to be a tangible advantage for the Eagles in this matchup.
One thing that the Falcons defense has struggled with this season, is creating turnovers, having finished the season ranked No. 27 in the NFL's in takeaways.
While Nick Foles typically does an exceptional job protecting the football, having only thrown two interceptions in the three-plus games that he started this season, matching up against a defense that has only intercepted eight passes this season could be a boost not only to Foles' confidence, but also in the Eagles' offense's ability to hold onto and move the football.
Granted, the Eagles had Carson Wentz last season, but wide receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith nor running backs LeGarrette Blount and Jay Ajayi were on the team for last season's 24-15 victory at Lincoln Financial Field.
In that game, the Eagles sacked Ryan twice and pulled of a timely interception. It was the defense that lifted the Eagles to victory, and it will likely have to be again on Saturday.
Outcome aside, there is value in past experience against Ryan and the Falcons' offense that can't be picked up from film-study.
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