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TIPSTER STATS from 19 Nov 2017 To 05 Feb 2018
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Published on 10/Jan/2018 12:18
TYPE OF BET: TWO WAY INCLUDING OT
BET ON: MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Best Tipster Odd: 1.50 Bet365
BEST CURRENT ODD:
STAKE: 5 % bankroll (100 Units)
No Bet Under: 1.45
MATCH RESULT: 29-24 (10-0, 7-0, 0-7, 12-17)
PROFIT: +50 Units
A general look at seasonal stats shows the Saints to be probably the toughest NFC match-up opponent for the Vikings this post-season. But a deeper look into match-ups and trends suggests the Saints may once again have a difficult time beating the Vikings at US Bank Stadium.
At home, the Vikings have converted 45% of 3rd downs this season, while the Saints have given up that same percentage on the road. That suggests the Vikings should be able to sustain drives, wear down the Saints defense, and keep Drew Brees off the field.
On the other side, the Saints have converted 37% of their third down opportunities, while the Vikings defense has allowed only 25% of third downs to be converted. Those percentages for both teams have been trending lower in recent weeks. That suggests, absent big plays, that the Saints will have fewer scoring opportunities compared to the Vikings. And the Vikings defense hasn’t allowed many big plays, either.
Both teams are averaging around 50% TD conversion in the red zone on offense, but defensively the Vikings have been tougher in the red zone- allowing only 40% conversions compared to the Saints’ 52%.
All that suggests Drew Brees and company face an uphill battle at US Bank stadium on Sunday
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