I think there are 3 different ways to be a Long term winner in Football Betting.
1/ You can work with a model, but for that you need to have a very strong tool and to have time and money to update it on a regular basis. You indeed have to enter a lot of stats on it before and after each game.
2/ You can be a professional bettor yourself, but you need the necessary experience for that.
3/ You can subscribe to a professional service like Betadvisor offers. If you do that, you need to make a good choice, then to follow the bankroll strictly and to be patient.
With a subscription at my own service ‘Geert Van Elsen’, you’ll get a profitable service on the long term. I’m working mainly in the Belgian 1st and Second divisions, sometimes on European cups. The previous seasons I also offered bets on France national (3rd division) but this league became trickier.
Between 01/2008 and 06/2012 I did produce a general yield of 17.58 %, which is very high. I constantly try to improve the service… and I tried again to improve my global record by creating my own model. I wanted to use this model in addition to my own views and to avoid some ‘obvious’ mistakes. It worked well for three or four weeks but long term it was not a success. I have been in RED some months and – sadly – my general yield did decrease a lot.
At the start of 2013 I chose to go back to my good old winning system : My own feeling and my own views. The good results/record are back but the general yield is still a bit affected. From 01/2008 to 04/2013 I reach now 12.85 % which is still very decent.
I’m particularly optimistic I can perform well again since I reached 15.88 % from 01/2013 to now.
My global number of customers has decreased a bit at the end of the year 2012 but it’s perhaps not a bad thing. The Betting market is quickly affected in my leagues, particularly in the second division, a league I perform very strongly thanks to a very strong knowledge and inside information (47.93 % Yield in 2013).
My customers will notice that from now that my stake will be higher on the Belgian 2nd division – usually 4% – (30.47% yield on 76 picks thorough 5 years) than in other leagues – Usually 2 or 3%.