Today’s free tip is for the match Valencia vs Granada. Our tipster Pete Nordsted knows who is going to win:
“This is a vital game for both sides Valencia need the win to maintain their challenge for Champions League places and Granada need the win to get out of the relegation places. Despite losing 0-2 at Barcelona last weekend Valencia are coming into this game in some decent form and at home this season their record reads an extremely strong looking W13, D2, L1
When looking at the 13 victories 10 of these have come by 2 goals or more.
When facing teams of Granada’s stature Valencia’s home record reads a strong looking W8, D1, L1 and Valencia have won 3 of the 8 matches by 2 goals or more.
Looking at the recent head-to-head record Valencia have won all 3 of the last 3 matches.
Granada are coming into this match in poor form and currently they sit in 19th place on 25 points which is 3 points from safety. Worryingly for Granada only 7 of these points were gained away and this season their away record reads a poor looking W1, D4, L11 and they have lost 9 of their last 10 away games and 7 by 2 or more goals.
When facing teams of Valencia’s grading Granada’s away record reads a very poor W0, D1, L9. Here they have lost 6 of these games by 2 goals or more.
Historically when Top 6 sides meet bottom 6 sides on the -1. 5 goal handicap the record reads Matches 185 Home wins 97, Away wins 88. During April to May it reads Matches 43 Home wins 23, Away wins 20 which suggests value in the home side. Even at the price of 1. 33 Valencia offer some value. Granada have a home game with Espanyol on Thursday and they my sacrifice this game to prepare and make use of their far superior home for”
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