Hi everyone thanks for coming back once more to read my daily blog on the big Goodwood meeting, I hope we have as much success here as we did for the last blog I did which was for Royal Ascot, I missed the start of the Glorious Goodwood meeting yesterday due to hols but am doing it for the rest of the week from gloriously sunny Malta now my internet connection is set up correctly.
So, to start with, the 2.00, a very tricky race with a few positive jockey bookings from trainers who obviously fancy their runners, Vaughan/Moore, Hobbs /Spencer, Hammond / Hanagan and the most interesting Tompkins/Fallon, then you throw in a couple of runners better known for their exploits over the jumps that have not run on the flat for quite a long time, and most of the horses have never run over a distance close to this and you realise how tricky the race is going to be to predict, none of the proven flat runners have form that stands out and Spirit of Adjisa has the best current jumps form since being trained by Tim Vaughan but even when in top form for previous trainers he has never performed as well over long distances on the flat, Liberate is a model of consistency in both codes and usually performs well in these long distance races without winning, but both these jumps horses look vulnerable to me, Dazinski ran a shocker last time so a watching brief is suggested on that one.
So my four against the field are Bowdlers Magic who has looked very one paced and worth a try over this sort of distance, Addwaitya who will be staying on when the others have had enough. Exemplary, a typical Mark Johnston in and out performer who runs too many bad races to put up as a selection but usually runs better, as like today, after a break, and Royal Diamond from the in-form Jonjo yard who looks to have been targeted for the race, but it has to be a no bet race with so many if’s and buts.
2.35 a much easier race to summarise, a Richard Hannon benefit race by the number of runners he has entered but only the top three in the betting can be seriously considered on all known form, one of those is from the Hannon yard and the Richard Hughes chosen one from the Hannon plethora of runners, I think he will overturn form with Red Duke, I also think he will be much better suited to this easier track than his conqueror Red Duke who the reverse can be said about, he looked as if he needed further even on the stiff Newmarket track so today’s easier track does not look suitable, so then how seriously do you take the Coventry form when Lethal Force had Chandlery more than 6 lengths behind? That was Lethal Force’s first glimpse of form and he looked as if he would benefit by a step up in trip and he has run over this course before whereas Chandlery showed improved form on his next run to the same degree, so whilst not a betting race for me because the prices are too short for what I like, I would be prepared at the prices to see Lethal Form confirm the form over Chandlery.
Running at Goodwood 3.10 the highlight of day two, the Sussex stakes and the much anticipated clash between Frankel and Canford Cliffs, I think it is not a hard race to summarise, Frankel had his swan song in the Guineas and I am not sure he will ever repeat that amazing run, but tactically I think the horse will be a sitting duck for Canford Cliffs, if Frankel tries to make the running Canford Cliffs will sit on his tail and get a nice tow and that will help him settle and if Frankel tries to beat him for a turn off foot he will also find that very difficult so head on the chopping block, I can’t see Frankel winning, another negative for Frankel is that he has never travelled farther than Ascot before and even missing out on some juicy races abroad which he could so easily have turned into a procession so you have to wonder if he is not the best of travellers, much as I would love him to win for Sir Henry.
3.45 its Mark Johnston’s turn to have plethora of runners, he has four in the race and interestingly Silvestre de Silva is on what looks to be the outsider of them, top weight Sadler’s Risk looks to have it all to do to make the running with top weight, Halifax looks out classed even with Fallon on, the going looks too fast for Bridle Path and Whiplash Willie both of whom have shown much better form on softer going and come up wanting once the going has come up quick, have narrowed this down to just four runners that I think have a chance of winning.
4.20 not a betting race for me with too many unknowns but there has been a big whisper for Sunday Times from a yard that don’t often get it wrong when the money is down and the runners with form look nothing exceptional.
4.55 a wide open race as you would expect, Golden Desert a course and distance winner is way out of form but it is interesting that Jamie Spencer takes the ride, it’s also interesting that Rulesn’regulations who has a good record here and won this race last year ran yesterday in first time blinkers, ran too freely and then runs again today with the headgear still on back over the shorter trip, he usually needs time between his races but could today be the plan…..Shavansky is ultra-consistent, fully exposed and has no secrets from the handicap so surely one of the “ unexposed “ types will beat him, Smarty Socks has been running over further of late presumably to offset his habit of starting slowly but it has not worked so he is back to his best trip where starting slowly often costs him the race, Space Station is another who likes these tracks but he runs too many poor races for me to want to select here, Shamandar has blinkers on for the first time today to try and rekindle some form but not me to guess if that will happen at these prices, if Common Touch comes here in the form that saw him win his second race at York he would win this, but that form is 10lbs above anything he has shown before or since so best watched, the ex-Nigel Tinkler trained Webbow is consistent and has Mr Fallon riding but usually finds one too good, I think the race lies between two horses but I’m saving that info for my members.
5.30 Abdicate won a soft race last time and doesn’t look good enough, Valencha is consistent but needs to find more at this level, Miss Diagnosis found some better form last time but will she be able to confirm it, the two I like and find hard to split are Apache Glory who has won his last two well, and Totheendoftheeearth with the in form Silvestre de Sousa riding who I think might just edge it.