Hello and welcome back to the Bet Advisor Blog for the preview of the last day of Cambridgeshire meeting and some superb racing from the other meetings including some top class jump racing from Market Rasen.
1.50 Market Rasen
I think the mare Businessmoney Judi needs to get her jumping together before she will be able to compete at this higher level, Royale’s Charter is consistent but looks beatable, the races Pollen Jack has run in have been pretty slowly run affairs and I can’t see that being the case today, the mare With Grace disappointed last time so we have to see if she is over any problems before we can consider backing her, the gelding Spice Bar has won his last two over jumps but this is a little tougher, Tara Warrior has not always looked an easy ride but claimer Michael Byrne gets on well with him and is worth most of his 7lbs claim, the two I like are Flichity who won a seller here last time when trained by Donald McCain, the worry is that this is the first run for the John Cornwall yard but if he has settled in there he has place prospects at a big price, Kings Council is my idea of the winner, the gelding was running well over hurdles when last seen and seems to have found a bit more on the flat since and if that improvement is carried over to his return to hurdling he looks a big price at around 14.5.
This looks a poor race for the money with nothing standing out on form, Farhaan has struggled to win a couple of weak races, and needs to find a lot of improvement from somewhere, Rockinante has never run on going this fast so no idea what to expect, the three O’Brien runners seem to have the race between them but who is the best is anybody’s guess, on paper it looks to be Daddy Long Legs but not a betting race for me.
2.20 Market Rasen
This is a hot little race for the time of year with plenty of fancied runners, Drill Sergeant runs too many poor races for my liking, plus he has a lot of weight for what he has done, the filly Tatispout’s stable is in the best form ever but she has been running in weaker races and looks outclassed today, King in Waiting looks the David O Meara 2nd string today, Olympian had the race run to suit last time but doubt that will happen today, Rajnagan seems to have been collared by the handicapper now after a string of successes in the summer, King Olav won a weak race last time and will find it hard to follow up today in this better race, I’ve narrowed this down to just three runners and will be sending out more information to my members.
A fillies race so a no bet race for me, it looks best left to the front two in the betting, I don’t think there is much between them, both are improving and won well last time, Lightening Pearl was probably the most impressive of the 2, but Best Terms is a later foal so should have more improvement.
The going is usually faster on the sprint courses at Haydock, and I don’t think that will help Esprit de Midas, or Mass Rally who both need a bit more cut, Valery Borzov saves his best form for Hamilton, but has run well here in the past, Tyfos best form is over 5f, Layla’s Hero is consistent but might find the going too quick, I’ve again narrowed it down to just three runners but to find out what they are you need to be a member.
2.50 Market Rasen
A tough race, which is just what I like, and going through the runners from the top, get down to no 13 before I can eliminate any which shows how hard the race is, Neptune Equester has been running ok on the flat but might get run off his feet over this trip, Life of Luso looks outclassed, Noble Alan might find the going too fast for him today he needs a bit of cut underfoot to show his best, Mad Moose’s best form is over hurdles, he has just won a couple of weak slowly run races over fences and this is a tough ask, North Island is another who looks outclassed, My Moment has returned to form in a couple of moderate chases since being moved to the Tim Vaughan yard but this is harder, I’ve narrowed this down to just three runners that I think can win for my subscribers.
And yet another fillies race so a no bet race, Music Show has got the visor on in the hope that it will revitalise her, I’m a Dreamer has got fast ground for the first time since her impressive seasonal debut win over the course, Alansa is improving but needs more to win this, Chachamaidee seems to have reached her peak but all will have to struggle to beat the French challenger Saphresa whose form looks a cut above these.
Waffle has the ability but is struggling at the minute, Addictive Dream even with Fallon on board might find the drop back in trip against him, Cheveton is bang in form and goes best for Dale Swift but was suited last time by the way the race panned out and it makes the form look better than what it is I think so not for me today, I think this shorter trip even though he has won over it is not his best, Racy is in form but needs to find a bit more, there has to be a worry about the going for Master Rooney he usually needs it faster, Marine Commando is running back into form but does not look good enough, I have narrowed it down to just three runners, but you need to be a member to find out what they are.
Today’s big race that we have all been waiting for, quite a simple task to find the winner from just 32 runners……..if I had a crystal ball that is, Cry Fury will struggle today he has been running and getting beat in some weaker races than this, bottom weight Maali would have a chance if the blinkers and tongue tie help and he reproduces his Doncaster form, Nanton is consistent but getting on a bit now so can’t see him being good enough to win this, Proponent usually runs well here but not sure he has the pace for this sort of race, Man of Action did well to win from a poor draw at Doncaster but it was a weak race for the money and most of the shorter priced runners were drawn badly so the form is a little suspect, I have narrowed this down once again to just four runners that I think can win this.
Another fillies race so a no bet race and not even an opinion on the race.
Mr David does not look good enough even with Jamie Spencer riding, Citrus Star is another whose form doesn’t look good enough to win this, Asraab might improve for the extra furlong, the break and the tongue tie but needs to, the inform Lutine Belle needs everything to just drop right as it nearly did last week under today’s pilot but that could have been her day, Bonnie Brae is consistent but beginning to look a bit exposed now, Elna Bright is versatile regarding trip and consistent when in form but he would need a lifetime best to win this, White Frost had been well placed to win three on the bounce before flopping when bidding for a four timer, the handicapper may have caught up with him now, I have narrowed this down to just three runners but to find out what they are once again you need to be a member.
This race looks to be at the mercy of the top weight and fav but not a betting race because it may turn tactical and the price is too short.