FC Schalke 04 V FC Bayern Munich, Bundesliga, Veltins-Arena, 19th September 2017
Schalke and Bayern meet at the Veltins-Arena this midweek with identical records – played four, won three, lost one. For the home side that represents a terrific start to the season under new coach, 32-year-old Domenico Todesco. In particular the opening round 2-0 victory over last season’s second-placed finishers RB Leipzig ensured the season got off to a flier.
Reigning champions Bayern’s sole defeat came 2-0 away at Hoffenheim, but that is the only blemish on a season so far which includes a Super Cup win over Dortmund (albeit on penalties) and a 3-0 Champions League win over Anderlecht. Last time out Bayern claimed a 4-0 home win over Mainz with Robert Lewandowski scoring twice, taking his season tally to seven. The Polish striker has also scored in his previous four appearances against Tuesday night’s opponents.
Indeed, looking at the head-to-head, it makes sorry reading for Die Konigsblauen. Schalke haven’t claimed a win over Bayern in 14 attempts across all competitions. Their last victory was a 2-0 win at home back in 2011, and since that game the hosts have lost five of six at the Veltins-Arena; that solitary draw coming in 2014. In fact, the home team have only scored twice in those six games, conceding 14 along the way, and Bayern have won all five by at least two goals.
The caveat to all of that is that rarely in that period have we witnessed a competitive Schalke team. Three seasons ago under Roberto Di Matteo, a side which ultimately finished sixth held champions Bayern to a 1-1 draw both home and away, and even in between last season’s underwhelming performances, the visitors secured an unlikely 1-1 draw at the Allianz Arena.
Using the Asian handicap, Schalke +1.5 is available at 1.83 with 188bet and is a sensible choice considering the form of the home team heading into this game. Unsurprisingly there is no value in backing an away win, and Bayern are simply too strong to back an outright home victory, with the draw always being a perilous option.
Then backing ‘No’ on BTTS will secure odds of 2.14 with 32red. Three of the last four meetings have failed to see both teams score, and Bayern have two clean sheets in four Bundesliga games so far this season. They themselves failed to score against Hoffenheim, whereas Schalke themselves kept a clean sheet against Leipzig but failed to score against second-placed Hanover.
A tight game is certainly on the cards, and going under 2.5 goals is handsome value at 2.64 with Marathonbet.
An enticing encounter awaits in Gelsenkirchen on Tuesday night.