Yesterday the tips were pretty poor nearer last than first so got to make up for that today; I hope you did latch on to a few of my thoughts with my place Lay of the day Eagles Peak and a few others I said to avoid too, so if you take the tips out the rest of the info was spot on but that’s not what you pay me for so hands up, the tips were rubbish yesterday, you just have to remember that because of the prices I select 1 winner over the whole 5 days meeting will just about put you in front and that’s how I make it pay, whereas if I gave you half a dozen 2.5 shots that got beat then the next one won at 2.5 you would be miles out of pocket.
So on to today hopefully I learnt a few things from yesterday about the draw and how the track was favouring different styles of racing, there’s been no rain where I live near the course but the weather has been damp and miserable so it won’t have dried up much, so today I hope I can put a bit of that into practice and make you some wonga.
So onto the first race:
the 2.00, lots of runners without there being much in the way of class in the field, and not a race I would be having a bet in, my thoughts on the leading contenders are that West Leake Diman will struggle to confirm form with Magic City on 10lb worse terms for half a length so Magic City could be a big price for a place even though he is the rejected of Richard Hughes from the Hannon runners, Bogart did not handle the downhill track at Goodwood so expect better today, the Irish raider Hestian wasn’t particularly impressive at Naas, Crown Dependency is the obvious choice but the price is too short in this field with luck in running needed, Red Art has improved steadily but still needs to find more to figure here, if I were to have a bet it would be on Miss Work of Art, the filly was progressing until her last two runs whilst her stable were out of form, now the stable is back in form she is back where she ran her best race over c/d she is drawn nicely in the middle she has 4 lengths to find on the fav from one of her poor runs but I would prefer to take a chance on her at around 22.0 than back the favourite.
2.30 the Lowther stakes. Best Terms has progressed and is unbeaten but looked as if defeat was nigh last time when she only just lasted home, so over an extra furlong she is not for me, another not for me is Angels will Fall, the races she has won have not been strong and she has not looked to have lots in hand but I am sure Barry Hills would love to go out with a bang. It’s hard to gauge the strength of the Irish runner Fire Lily but I think from what I have seen that this course will be too sharp for her, she looks like she wants 7f and more cut, both Shumoos and Introbil will be closer to Gamilati now she has a 3lb penalty but Gamilati was fairly impressive that day and showed about 20lbs improvement the problem is though as all in this race, she is a filly and will she repeat that form, if she does, she wins but fillies races are not betting races for me so just a watching race.
3.05 a wide open race with lots of possibilities, and a fair few of the shall we say less consistent types running, Invisible Man looks to be drawn well but his level of form other than the Hunt cup does not deserve top weight in this race he is one of the lesser lights from the stable, Fareer has blinkers back on but looks the stables 2nd string on jockey bookings, Axiom came back to form last time for his new stable but still needs to step up a notch, Harrison George is very hard to win with and even though the stable is back in form would have to be at the very top of his game to win this, Mont Angel has become very disappointing lately and didn’t run much better with the visor on last time, Markazzi is the Richard Hills choice but his level of form again falls short of what is need to win this, Pintura is usually consistent but the gelding is very hard to win with, Pendragon is another who is consistent ,but hard to win with, he should finish around where Invisible Man does, I’ve narrowed it down to just three that I think have a big chance of winning but I’m holding that information back for my subscribers.
3.40 the Yorkshire Oaks not a betting race for me, Vita Nova does not look good enough, the Irish Oaks was inconclusive and is form to be wary of, Terry Norman thinks that Crystal Capella ridden by his jockey Kieren Fallon has a big chance and if I were to have a bet I would probably think she does have the best chance in what might turn out to be a bit of a slog, but it is a no bet race for me.
4.15 the Galtres stakes, Amazing Beauty is not good enough to win, and the same applies to Mirror Lake and the improving Set to Music and Spin, Polly’s Mark will love the going but I can’t see her winning, which leaves us with just two that could win Wild Coco and Field of Miracles, the problem is that they both ran very disappointingly last time so you would not know what to expect today, if I were to have a bet I would favour Field of Miracles but not a betting race for me.
4.50 the longest race of the day, Mountain Hiker has steadily improved but they have been very weak races and he has a lot of weight for what he has done, not a lot to choose between the Easterby brothers runners Itlaaq and Deaville Flyer slight preference is for Itlaaq who is unexposed over the distance, Hawk Mountain took this last year under today’s pilot Jamie Spencer but today’s race looks harder, Plato has blinkers fitted for the first time so you never know, Alazan has been a beaten favourite too many times for my liking, Tuscan Gold’s turf form is not as good as his a.w form so not for me, Chilly Filly has moved yards and if they have found the key to her she has back form that would get her close to winning this, I’ve narrowed this race down to just two runners that I think can win but once again you need to be a member.