Trainer points for June.

The Dubai based Godolphin horses return to Newmarket in early April every season and upon returning to UK shores they have done very little fast work which puts them behind a lot of other yards in terms of fitness for the opening months of the turf season.

One area where we can be profitable is by acting as layers to the Godolphin charges under the stewardship of Saeed Bin Suroor in these early months, including June.

Invariably the yard’s horses are over-bet as the Godolphin name is massive in racing terms and bettors latch onto them. That being the case, how does Saeed Bin Suroor’s horses from the front end of the market fare?

The following figures are taken from the early part of the season, April to June with Godolphin horses priced at 9-4 (2.25) or shorter over the last three years. And it reveals some big losses.

2008: 4 wins from 18 races, -£838.00

2009: 3 wins from 21 races, – £1445.00

2010: 16 wins from 52 races, -£1529.00

How do those results compare with this season thus far? Here’s your answer:

April 26th 4.10 Yarmouth, Asraab 4-5 (1.8) Favourite, 1.28 to place, Result : Unplaced

April 30th 2.25 Thirsk, Estourah 13-8 (2.62) Favourite, 1.43 to place Result: Unplaced

May 17th 4.30 Nottingham, Burj Hatta 7-4 (2.75) Favourite, 1.47 to place Result: 3rd

May 18th 4.20 Goodwood, Badeel 2-1 (3) Favourite, 1.78 to place Result: Unplaced

May 26th 7.05 Sandown, Holberg 6-4 (2.5) Favourite, 1.53 to place Result: 3rd

Five horses have ran from the Bin Suroor stable below the price of 9-4 (3.25), all going off as favourite and not one under odds of 7-4 (2.75). All have lost and only two from the five have placed.

Laying them to £100 level stakes would have you £475 in profit to 5% commission on the exchanges. Laying the place would also have been lucrative with a profit of £185 to top end commission rates on the exchanges. This is a laying policy you can adopt to your financial benefit through the month of June.

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