Once again everyone welcome back to the BetAdvisor blog , hope you’re having a good look around the site, there is lots of info and stuff worth reading. I couldn’t punch my way out of a paper bag at the min, more of the selections are finishing last than first which is unusual for me considering I have something like 34% place strike rate from over 900 selections so for a run of my selections to be out of the money and running that badly is not good for me, but it’s all about the long term and as you all know I have made profit since being invited onto this site and as always things will come good, the prices of my selections mean that there are long losing runs but when they win we recover all the losses and charge on, so believe me that elusive winner will come and it will be a good price.
So on to today’s racing, usually when the going changes like it has my form book comes even more into it’s own and personally yesterday I had a couple of very close calls to winning a big amount but as anyone will tell you a close call doesn’t get any money in your pockets just the satisfaction that you were nearly right at big prices, anyway less of the wittering and on with the racing,
I don’t usually give selections out in non-handicaps mainly because the prices are too short, and this is a free selection just because of that,
Drunken Sailor will be over bet, the race last time fell into his lap and this race won’t happen like that, it is more likely to be a tactical affair, he is hard to win with and prefers faster ground than today to show his best, Akmal should get a soft lead up front and the drop back and easier track will help, I think the race rest between the two down at the bottom, Eternal Heart and Motrice, Eternal Heart’s form seems to have plateaued for now, to win this the colt would need to improve, so for all those reasons Motrice looks a serious bet, she is in form, handles the course and the going the trip looks right up her street and the trainer is in top form, if she were a bigger price she would be banker material.
Casual Glimpse won with a bit in hand last time but has never run as well on rain softened ground, is badly drawn in 1 so will need all the luck going to thread a passage through the field if held up as usual but most importantly of all is poorly weighted with some of the horses he has beaten before, so not for me today, Lowther is another that is pretty consistent but has major doubts on his ability to handle the going today, Eton Rifles would have to be right at the top of his game after a 9 week break and he usually needs a run, so even with Fallon on board isn’t for me, Docothebay is reasonably consistent but is very hard to win with, plus the stable is not in the best of form, have narrowed this down to four runners that I think might win this or in my current form you might want to lay but that information is for my subscribers only.
Ittirad has the blinkers on but that would need to bring about major improvement for him to take this, Mountain Range has won a couple of weakish races at Sandown and Windsor and before and after been beaten in some races weaker than today’s contest, he has never run over this trip so it might improve him, but for a horse to be favourite in my book you need to have no negatives, so not for me, another not for me is Chock a block from the Saeed Bin Suroor stable, he has a lot of weight for what he has done and the yard is not exactly firing on all cylinders, Northside Prince is exposed plus the going has to be a major worry today, Mcbirney just is not good enough to win this, once again I have narrowed the race down to just four runners in with a chance of winning this but to find out what they are you need to subscribe or be a member.
Dare to dance has to be my place lay of the day even with four runners to be placed 1.6 looks a blinding lay, he struggled to win a weak race last time when odds on, has never run over this trip and looks outclassed, Tameen looks the second string of the owner on colours and form even though she is sure to like this going, Fadah has been running in some moderate races and getting beat so another not for me, the race revolves around 4 runners that I think have a chance of winning this.